Tracking another severe storm threat coming early Friday

AUSTIN (KXAN) — After an EF-1 tornado touched down south of Jarrell Monday night, another severe weather risk is coming to Central Texas before the work week ends.

While spring is our primary severe weather season, October is our secondary and often stormy month. We are tracking another powerful upper level low pressure system diving into Texas from the Pacific Northwest, on pace to arrive in place Friday morning.

While this storm will have some of the ingredients needed to break through thunderstorms, there is still some uncertainty in others.

  • Will we see enough moisture return ahead of the strong storm feed system?
  • Will there be enough instability in the atmosphere to cause severe weather if the storms arrive during the coolest part of the day as predicted?

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center paints only a “slight” 1 in 5 threat of severe weather locally Friday morning, but that will likely be upgraded as the event approaches. Early indications are that this could be a severe “all hazard” event, with the potential for hail, wind damage and isolated tornadoes.

A risk of severe thunderstorms late Thursday morning through early Friday
A risk of severe storms Friday morning after 7am

Preliminary high-resolution model forecasts show a powerful squall line of thunderstorms racing west to east across the area early Friday. Storms may affect the Austin area Friday morning commuters.

Storms in hill country before dawn
Cold front brings storms to metro counties to the east

Stay with the KXAN First Warning Weather team as the storm approaches, and be sure to download the free KXAN Weather app to stay on top of weather conditions during severe weather threats.

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